The Threatening Storm
The Case for Invading Iraq

The Threatening Storm by Kenneth M Pollack - The Case for Invading Iraq

Military Intelligence Reading List

Title:  The Threatening Storm | Author:  Kenneth M. Pollack | Publisher:  Random House
Date: Sept 2002 | ISBN:  0375509283


Book Description:
From the Publisher - In The Threatening Storm, Kenneth M. Pollack, one of the world's leading experts on Iraq, provides a masterly insider's perspective on the crucial issues facing the United States as it moves toward a new confrontation with Saddam Hussein.
For the past fifteen years, as an analyst on Iraq for the Central Intelligence Agency and the National Security Council, Kenneth Pollack has studied Saddam as closely as anyone else in the United States.  In 1990, he was one of only three CIA analysts to predict the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait.  As the principal author of the CIA's history of Iraqi military strategy and operations during the Gulf War, Pollack gained rare insight into the methods and workings of what he believes to be the most brutal regime since Stalinist Russia.
Examining all sides of the debate and bringing a keen eye to the military and geopolitical forces at work, Pollack ultimately comes to this controversial conclusion:  through our own mistakes, the perfidy of others, and Saddam's cunning, the United States is left with few good policy options regarding Iraq.  Increasingly, the option that makes the most sense is for the United States to launch a full-scale invasion, eradicate Saddam's weapons of mass destruction, and rebuild Iraq as a prosperous and stable society--for the good of the United States, the Iraqi people, and the entire region.
Pollack believed for many years that the United States could prevent Saddam from threatening the stability of the Persian Gulf and the world through containment--a combination of sanctions and limited military operations.  Here, Pollack explains why containment is not longer effective, and why other policies intended to deter Saddam ultimately pose a greater risk than confronting him now, before he gains possession of nuclear weapons and returns to his stated goal of dominating the Gulf region.  "It is often said that war should be employed only in the last resort," Pollack writes.  "I reluctantly believe that in the case of the threat from Iraq, we have come to the last resort."
Offering a view of the region that has the authority and force of an intelligence report, Pollack outlines what the leaders of neighboring Arab countries are thinking, what is necessary to gain their support for an invasion, how a successful U.S. operation would be mounted, what the likely costs would be, and how Saddam might react.  He examines the state of Iraq today--its economy, its armed forces, its political system, the status of its weapons of mass destruction as best we understand them, and teh terrifying security apparatus that keeps Saddam in power.  Pollack also analyzes the last twenty years of relations between the United States and Iraq to explain how the two countries reached the unhappy standoff that currently prevails.
Commanding in its insights and full of detailed information about how leaders on both sides will make their decisions, The Threatening Storm is an essential guide to understanding what may be the crucial foreign policy challenge of our time.

Contents

Preface
Map of Iraq
Introduction: The Problem of Iraq

Part I: Iraq and the United States
   1. From Sumer to Saddam
   2. The Worm Turns
   3. Containment and Beyond

Part II: Iraq Today
   4. Iraqi State and Society
   5. The Threat
   6. The Regional Perspective

Part III: The Options
   7. The Erosion of Containment
   8. The Dangers of Deterrence
   9. The Difficulty of Covert Action
  10. The Risks of the Afghan Approach
  11. The Case for an Invasion
  12. Rebuilding Iraq

Conclusions: Not Whether, but When
Acknowledgements
Notes
Index


Book Review:
Reviewer: Mark I. Vuletic from Phoenix, AZ (Amazon Reviewer)
MAKES THE CASE FOR INVASION!, February 9, 2003

There are two parts to this book: one historical, and one analytical. The first part gives us the history of Iraq under Saddam Hussein, concentrating especially on the activity of his armies and security forces. The second part examines the strategies currently available to the United States with respect to Iraq: containment, deterrence, covert action, assistance of Iraqi opposition groups with intelligence, logistical, and air support (but no major commitment of US ground troops), and full scale invasion. Pollack explains why deterrence and invasion are the only workable options in the short term, and why invasion turns out to be the only workable option in the long run.

Personalities Referenced:
  Kofi Annan Yasir Arafat Masud Barzani
  Prince Bandar bin Sultan Hafiz al Asad Tariq Aziz
  Usama bin Ladin Tony Blair George Bush
  General Tommy Franks Qusayy Saddam Udayy Saddam
  Saddam Hussein Madeleine Albright Bill Clinton
Units/Organizations Referenced:
  Al Qaeda Arab Cooperation Council Arab League
  Arab Liberation Front Ba'th Party Hizballah
  Iraqi Intelligence Service Kurdish Democratic Party Mossad
  Republican Guard Patriotic Union of Kurdistan Organization of the Islamic Conference
Battles Referenced:
  Afghanistan Iran - Iraq War Persian Gulf War
  Al-Anfal Campaign Sinai - Suez War Six - Day War
  October War Iraqi Attack at Arbil Operation Desert Shield
  Operation Desert Storm Operation Praying Mantis Operation Desert Fox
  Operation Vigilant Warrior Operation Vigilant Sentinal Operation Enduring Freedom
Military Concepts Discussed:
  Air Power Biological Warfare Chemical Warfare
  Covert Action Terrorism Special Operations
Related Websites:
  The Iraq Report Middle East Economic Digest Council on Foreign Relations

Books Referenced by the Author:

  Terrorism and U.S. Foreign Policy Sanctioning Saddam A History of the Arab Peoples
  The Ottoman Centuries A Peace to End All Peace Saddam Hussein:  The Politics of Revenge
  Saddam Hussein: A Political Biography The Old Social Classes and the Revolutionary Movements of Iraq The Modern History of Iraq
  Iraq Since 1958 The Reckoning:  Iraq and the Legacy of Saddam Hussein A History of Iraq
   

And many more....

 

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